The Russia-Pakistan Alliance is a Natural One

Prime Minister of Pakistan Mr. Imran Khan is scheduled to visit Russia by the end of this month. It will be a significant breakthrough in the diplomatic efforts of both countries and a big achievement. The rapidly changing geopolitics has compelled both nations to work together to face the emerging challenges, and this will be in the best interest of both countries, as well as for regional and global peace and stability. Both countries are facing similar challenges and identical issues, therefore, it is natural to work together in close liaison.

Common interests and shared views, as well as a convergence of interests, has brought two nations closer and the warmth of their relations has been very visible in recent years. Bilateral ties are growing in multiple dimensions, including the economic, defense, security, cultural, educational, investment, trade, energy, and political arenas. Their relationship is marked by mutual respect and trust.

Pakistan aims to forge a long-term multi-dimensional strategic partnership with the Russian Federation in almost all fields. Bilateral cooperation between the two countries dates back to Soviet times. Karachi Steel Mills, major thermal power facilities at Muzaffargarh, Multan-II, and Guddu were all built by the Soviet Union. The USSR also helped Pakistan in the establishment of the Oil and Gas Development Corporation Ltd. (OGDCL) and the development of Pakistan’s agriculture sector.

Both countries have similar stakes in durable peace and stability in their common neighborhood and harbor shared aspirations for regional development and prosperity. The leadership of the two nations is in regular contact and the upward trajectory of bilateral relations is being maintained through sustained high-level interactions and strong institutional mechanisms. Pakistan’s accession to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), as a full member, has infused new energy into this bilateral relationship and Pakistan highly values the support extended by the Russian Federation during its membership process.

Exchanges between the leadership of the two countries are frequent. Prime Minister Imran Khan met with then Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev on the sidelines of the ‘China International Import Expo’ on 5th November 2018. Besides. Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi held a bilateral meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov twice in 2018; the first meeting was held in New York on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly’s 73rd Session in September that year and the second one on 26th December 2018 in Moscow.

2017 was a particularly important year from a political point of view for both countries as significant meetings took place. These included bilateral meetings between both Prime Ministers in Astana on 9th June 2017 and in Sochi on 30th November the same year; the meetings were held on the sidelines of a high-level SCO meeting. There were also eight visits from Pakistan to Russia at the ministerial levels, including by Ministers of Foreign Affairs, Defence, Water & Power, Science and Technology, Industries and Production, Defence Production, Commerce and Textile, and National Health Services.

Institutional interactions have deepened the real strength of relations. Bilateral exchanges at the Parliamentary level have also expanded in recent times. Acting Chairman Senate Saleem Mandviwalla led a five-member delegation to the ‘International Conference on the Role of Parliaments in the Modern World: Federation Council of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation — 25 Years on the Path of Multidimensional Parliamentary Cooperation’; it was held on 10th December 2018 in Moscow. Senator Mushahid Hussain visited Russia in October 2018 to attend the International Conference of Asian Political Parties (ICAPP). Former Speaker of the National Assembly Sardar Ayaz Sadiq visited Russia in December 2017 to participate in the conference on ‘Parliamentarians Against Drugs’. He also led a 16-member delegation to the 137th Inter-Parliamentary Union Assembly in October 2017 to Saint Petersburg.

From the Russian side Chairman State Duma (lower house of Russian Parliament) Vyacheslav Volodin paid the first-ever visit to Pakistan in December 2017 to participate in the six-country ‘Regional Conference on Challenge of Terrorism and Inter-Regional Connectivity’. The Chairman of the Russian State Duma Committee on International Affairs, Mr. Leonid Slutsky, visited Pakistan in November 2017 and met with both the Speaker of the National Assembly and the Foreign Minister of Pakistan.

Pakistan and Russia are currently experiencing economic challenges and are collaborating to overcome these jointly. Bilateral trade between the two countries is increasing steadily. Pakistan’s major exports to the Russian market include cotton, textiles, leather, synthetic fabrics, rice, fruits, surgical and sports goods. Our major imports include fertilizers, chemical elements and compounds, rubber, tyres and tubes, paper and paper board, iron and steel (raw and manufactured products), and machinery. The Pakistan-Russia Inter-Governmental Commission (IGC) on Trade, Economic, Scientific, and Technical Cooperation is an important institutional mechanism to review the whole spectrum of bilateral cooperation and chart down the roadmap for future developments. The Inaugural Session of the IGC was held in Moscow on 21st September 2010. The Fifth Session of the IGC was held in Moscow from 28th to 30th November 2017.

The Trade Wing of the Embassy is entrusted with the task of increasing bilateral trade between Pakistan and Russia. It stays in regular contact with the relevant Ministries and Departments of the Russian Federation, as well as of Pakistan to address the issues hindering the growth of bilateral trade. It is heartening to observe that bilateral trade between both countries is on an upward trajectory. Businessmen, importers, exporters, and investors of both countries are interested in establishing business relations with their counterparts and are encouraged to contact the Trade Wing for any kind of information or query. Trade Wing carries out a wide range of activities for the promotion of bilateral trade and investment relations between the two countries.

Energy cooperation has emerged as the most prominent feature of our bilateral relations, Pakistan being an energy deficient country and Russia being an energy rich one as a leader in the global production of oil and gas. Pakistan and Russia signed an ‘Inter-Governmental Agreement on the Construction of North-South Gas Pipeline’ (NSGP) from Karachi to Lahore in October 2015. An ‘Inter-Governmental Agreement on Cooperation in the Sphere of Liquefied Natural Gas’ (LNG) was signed between the two countries on 13th October 2017. Both sides have also signed an MoU for conducting a feasibility study on an offshore gas pipeline project (September 2018) and, as a follow up to this, Russia’s Gazprom and the Inter-State Gas Company Limited signed an MoU for a gas pipeline feasibility study regarding gas supplies from the Middle East to South Asia, on 6th February 2019. In addition, a proposal for the establishment of a 600 MW ‘Combined Cycle Power Plant (CCPP) at Jamshoro Sindh is under consideration by both sides.

Rapidly changing geopolitics have compelled the two nations towards strategic defense cooperation. Pakistan-Russia defense cooperation has steadily increased and it is marked by frequent high-level contacts between the two countries. Under the landmark ‘Defense Cooperation Agreement’ signed during the Russian Defense Minister’s visit to Pakistan in November 2014, Russia delivered four (04) Mi-35 gunship helicopters to Pakistan. High-level exchanges between the military leadership of both the countries included:

  • Chief of Army Staff General Qamar Javed Bajwa’s visit to Russia in April 2018,
  • Chairman Joint Chief of Staff Committee’s visits to Russia in August 2018 to participate in the closing ceremony of the Army Games and the Joint SCO military exercise ‘Peace Mission 2018’,
  • A visit by Mr. Alexei Frolkin, the Deputy Director of the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation of the Russian Federation, and the delegation he led to Pakistan for the ‘1st Session of Joint Russia-Pakistan Commission on Military Technical Cooperation’ in March 2018,
  • The visit of the Vice Chief of Naval Staff and Pakistan Navy Ship ‘Aslat’ to St. Petersburg in July 2018 to participate in the Naval Parade,
  • The visit of Deputy Defence Minister of Russia Colonel General Alexander Fomin in August 2018,
  • The signing of an MoU on bilateral naval cooperation and training of Pakistani military personnel in Russian military institutions.

The Pakistan-Russia joint military exercise ‘Friendship’ has become a regular feature, the third one having been held in October 2018. Military-technical cooperation between the two countries has also strengthened over the years. The two militaries interact and participate in multilateral exercises under the aegis of the SCO. In this regard, Pakistan’s participation in the SCO member states’ Joint Military Anti-Terrorist Command Staff Exercise, ‘Peace Mission-2018’ in August 2018 in Chelyabinsk, Russia, is noteworthy. Reciprocal participation of each other’s military delegations has also evolved into a regular feature of military-to-military cooperation between the two countries. The Pakistan Army participated in Russia’s ‘Army-2018 Exhibition’ in Moscow, while the Russian side participated in Pakistan’s ‘International Defence Exhibition and Seminar (IDEAS) in 2019. Russia also participated in the multinational naval exercise Aman-2019 and attended the 2017 edition of the same exercise as well.

Although a limited number of Pakistanis live in Russia, the Pakistani Diaspora is very active and contributes to strengthening public diplomacy and friendship. The number of Pakistani nationals in Russia is approximately 1200. Among them, there are students, businessmen, professionals, and blue-collar workers. The Pakistani Embassy keeps close contact with the diaspora and helps resolve their problems diligently.

The Pakistan–Russia friendship is fast evolving into a mature partnership. Relations between the two countries are today characterized by mutual trust, commonality of interests, and convergence of views on important regional and global issues. Both countries have similar stakes in durable peace and stability in their common neighborhood, and harbor shared aspirations for regional development and prosperity. The upward trajectory is being maintained through sustained high-level interactions through strong institutional mechanisms and cementing cooperation in all dimensions.

Pakistan views Russia as an important global power, a significant development partner, and a salient contributor to regional stability. We believe that a long-term multidimensional strategic partnership between the two countries will be mutually beneficial for the people of Pakistan and the Russian Federation and would contribute towards regional peace and stability.

High expectations are linked to the upcoming visit of PM Imran Khan, as both President Putin and Prime Minister Imran Khan are visionary leaders and their chemistry is similar. Both are committed to global peace, stability, and prosperity.

Will India contain China? Lessons for the US

The strategic partnership between India and the United States has deepened over the years and both are now major defence partners. India is also part of the Quad along with the US, Australia and Japan which is ostensibly posed to counter a rising China.  New Delhi is also engaged in direct defence trade with Washington to enhance its military capabilities against Beijing. The US Secretary of Defence Mark Esper has gone so far as to declare that the US stands shoulder-to-shoulder with India to face China’s ‘aggression and destabilizing activities’ in the region. However, a number of recent developments have called into question India’s role in this partnership to contain Beijing’s rise.

First, India’s recent deployment of the Ballistic Missile Defence (BMD) system S-400 purchased from Russia has touched a nerve in the White House. The transfer of the S-400 came on the heels of the visit of Russian President Vladimir Putin to India in late 2021. The subsequent deployment of the system received huge traction due to the US reaction. Earlier, Washington had sanctioned its NATO ally Turkey for purchasing the same system from Russia under its ‘Countering American Adversaries through Sanctions Act’ (CAATSA). Reportedly, the US also cautioned India against going ahead with finalizing the deal, warning that a second CAATSA waiver was unlikely. But, by introducing the Circumspectly Reducing Unintended Consequences Impairing Alliances and Leadership (CRUCIAL) Act, 2021, US representatives tried to salvage India from impending sanctions. The Act seeks to exempt Quad members from sanctions under CAATSA. Notably, many in India also hoped that the US would let the issue slide, claiming that the said system would ultimately be deployed to fortify New Delhi’s defence against China. However, this claim was debunked with reports that India deployed the S-400’s first battery in the Punjab along its border with Pakistan. This leaves India’s aerial defence against China unchanged.

The deployment of the S-400 is also irksome for the US because, although the Indian military arsenal is growing, this increase is primarily coming from countries other than the United States. As the S-400 originates from Russia, it helps the country project its defence prowess which is definitely not something Americans would applaud. The system can also lead to interoperability issues with the US platforms in India’s inventory. Additionally, deployment of such systems can also cause security issues between American and Indian forces.

Similarly, questions are being raised about India’s intentions to pursue US interests in case the Sino-US trade war heats up again. In such a scenario, the US will naturally expect India to side with it, owing to their major defence agreements. The irony is that despite these military agreements worth billions of dollars, Indian military capabilities and economy lag behind China. And while India continues to beat the drums of a ‘two-front’ war scenario with Pakistan and China, this rhetoric is also believed to be a trope aimed at receiving compensation from the US as going to war against China is suicidal for New Delhi. The Indian government seems aware of this situation as it has chosen to stay quiet in the face of recent Chinese advancements in disputed territories. In fact, even the opposition leaders have claimed that the BJP Government has chosen to remain silent in response to Beijing’s increasing consolidation of its claims. This docile attitude was also visible from the overtures made by the Indian side to calm down the situation on the border, despite Chinese moves. Reportedly, India made several proposals to China to enter into talks to disengage from all ‘friction points’ at the Line of Actual Control (LAC). 

India’s capacity and capability to face China militarily came into question in June 2020 when over 20 Indian soldiers were killed in a scuffle with Chinese soldiers. Experts believe that within just one year of that clash at Galwan Valley, New Delhi threw in the towel on at least three occasions. Indian military preparedness remains primarily focused on Pakistan, as is also asserted by its military leadership.

Moreover, although New Delhi has sought to modernise its military, experts believe the country is investing in outdated war domains while China is investing in cutting edge war technologies of the future. China has a sophisticated military arsenal consisting of cyber, Artificial Intelligence, electronic and electromagnetic capabilities while India plans to resort to old, traditional ways of war fighting which will put it at odds with the People’s Liberation Army.

Given the above scenario, the situation is clear – India will always further its own interests even at the cost of US interests. It will not pick a fight with Beijing just to appease the White House as no nation would willingly go into an all-out war against a military and economic giant like China. Besides, despite importing sophisticated military technologies, India’s military is not capable of taking China head on. The US should face the reality that seeking to contain China’s influence by relying on India, a country which has neither the intent nor is equipped to perform this task, will definitely not yield desired results. While India continues to garner military dividends, stirring up a two-front war narrative to skim material gains from the US and evade its sanctions, China’s rise continues unabated, and the US policy to rely on India is clearly flawed.

‘PAKISTAN’S NATIONAL SECURITY POLICY:
A CRITICAL ANALYSIS’

‘PAKISTAN’S NATIONAL SECURITY POLICY: A CRITICAL ANALYSIS’ Advocates of the newly launched SP have hailed it as a unique document that champions a progressive and long overdue approach; they highlight its departure away from a military centric approach to Pakistan’s national security decision making and believe it is reflective of an all-encompassing approach to human security. Critics, however, argue that the policy does not make a case for actionable policy, as it does not provide for addressing internal challenges and an unrelenting external security environment. In order to better understand the foundation of the NSP and to evaluate it with an objective lens, the Faculty of Aerospace and Strategic Studies has organized a Webinar to discuss key aspects.

Moderated by DR. ADIL SULTAN, Acting Dean Faculty of Aerospace & Strategic Studies, Head Dept. of Strategic Studies

India’s Policy Towards its Neighbours: A Major Source of De-stabilisation in South Asia         

thailand, nonthaburi, june 14, 2019. – magnifying glass on the world map selective focus at india. – economic and business concept.

Vernon K. Mclellan states that “Diplomacy is cutting the other fellow’s throat without using a knife”; Indian diplomacy exemplifies how nations employ this instrument to attain their objectives. Due to the strong diplomatic lobbying and media portrayal by successive Indian administrations, Pakistan has always been blamed for the inimical relations between the two neighboring states. Even after the arrest of Kulbhushan Jadhav from Baluchistan, the violation of Pakistani airspace and the failed attempt by the Indian Air Force to attack Pakistan in 2019, India remains the favourite child from South Asia.

As per the tenets of Game Theory, the subject of dispute around which the game is constructed between India and Pakistan, is Kashmir. The nuclear powers are playing a finite game in Kashmir, in which both sides have long-term goals, and neither of the two states is willing to back down. However, in this power struggle, India has continued to accuse Pakistan of strained relations between the two countries, claiming that the latter interferes in its internal affairs and sponsors terrorism. Pakistan, on the other hand, asserts that the people of Kashmir have the right to decide their own fate under United Nations Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 47.

India consistently blames Pakistan for disputes, but when we examine India’s ties with its neighbors, it becomes clear that the issue rests in India’s foreign policy toward its neighbors, and not with Pakistan. India’s expansionist desires and insistence on acting as a big brother towards weaker and comparatively smaller South Asian states fuels regional conflicts. India shares a border with eight countries and has both major and minor conflicts with six of them, the Maldives and Bhutan being exceptions. It is critical to examine the conflicts between India and its neighbours in order to establish that Pakistan alone should not bear the brunt of strained relations.

In game theory, a game is considered to be stable if a finite player acts against another finite player, or an infinite player plays against an infinite player. In most cases in South Asia, conflicts are of infinite nature; for them to construct a game, three things are required, i.e., a set of players, a set of strategies for each player, and their respective payoffs. The following section explains how India has been engaging in conflicts and disputes with its neighbours over the issues of territory, water, and internal interference.

China

Sino-Indian relations have been the key driver of economic activities in the South Asian region but in pursuit of being the regional hegemon, both states have been periodically engaged in conflict with each other, the main one being the Sino-Indian border dispute over the Ladakh region. The border or the Line of Actual Control (LAC) is not demarcated, which often results in transgression. The first political pitfall that the Indian administration had to face was the defeat in 1962 in the Sino-Indian war over the border issue. More than fifty years later, the conflict continues. Matters escalated on 15 June 2020, and both sides held each other responsible for the tense situation. With India’s decision of 2019 in Jammu and Kashmir to end the region’s traditional autonomy and create the Union Territory of Ladakh, China saw the recent construction of a road in the area as a threat to the status quo and its strategic position in the region.

The bone of contention between the two countries is the border dispute, but there are other issues as well.  With the countries’ naval build-ups and deployments in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) and Western Pacific, the Sino-Indian rivalry has taken on a maritime dimension. According to Ken Booth, “Warships can be important influences on a country’s foreign policy simply ‘because they are there’. To the extent that a government perceives itself to be vulnerable in the naval context or identifies hostile naval intentions and capabilities on the part of the adversaries, warships can be an important factor in defining the threat.” Sustainability, which is linked to the concept of geographic reach, is an important determinant of naval force projection. It refers to the ability to keep naval forces on the station under a variety of working conditions, including adversary vicinity, and demanding operational environments. The East and South China Seas, the Yellow Sea, and the Taiwan Strait, where Beijing continues to grapple with unresolved maritime disputes with its neighbours, are among the areas where Chinese naval armament calls for active offshore defense. The People’s Liberation Navy Army now has a new mission, which is to protect China’s foreign interests in the face of growing global interests. On the other hand, India’s naval development appears to be focused on securing the interests in the Indian Ocean’s immediate vicinity. Concerns in New Delhi about Beijing’s reach in the Indian Ocean revolve around the latter’s increasingly powerful blue-water naval weapons, particularly submarines, and access to regional ports, particularly with Pakistan. Despite its limited ability to deploy naval forces into those areas, Beijing will remain cautious as New Delhi penetrates the immediate waters of the western Pacific. While a war between China and India is still a long way off, mutual rivalry at sea, fuelled by unresolved political issues on land, will continue to be a feature of their blue-water naval missions. Although Sino-Indian relations rely on economic ties, conflicts remain and are escalating, with the primary game centred on border disputes, followed by others.

Bangladesh

In 1971, when East Pakistan was separated from Pakistan and became Bangladesh, India was the first country to recognise the Mujib Ur Rehman government and supported the Bengali-speaking people in their fight against the ruling elite of West Pakistan. However, when it comes to disputes, India has multiple conflicts with Bangladesh over territory, and particularly on water. Both states are seemingly indulged in a game over water disputes because the countries share 54 common rivers; they have signed  the Ganga Water Treaty, which was established in 1996, and engage in a bilateral Joint Rivers Commission, set up in 1972, to maintain liaison between the two countries in order to maximise benefits from common river systems.[i]

However, two major water bodies are under dispute, one on the Farakka Barrage and the other on the Teesta River. Although the sharing of Ganga waters was agreed upon during the 1996 Ganga Water Treaty, there are still disagreements over the Indian government’s construction and operation of the Farakka Barrage. Bangladesh claims that it does not get a fair share of the water during the dry season and that India releases an excessive amount of water during the monsoons, causing floods in the country. The Rangpur region in Bangladesh receives irrigation from the Teesta River, and in 2011, an agreement was reached in which India received 42.5% of the water, while Bangladesh received 37.5%, and 20% of the water would flow unhindered. The Teesta River, however, remains a major source of contention between the two states even after the aforementioned terms of distribution.

Apart from water disputes, India and Bangladesh are at odds over a 4,096-kmland border. The border issue remains unresolved due to the non-demarcation of 6.5 km along the Comilla-Tripura route. India is hesitant to resolve the dispute because the land will likely be given to Bangladesh after the demarcation. Despite the media’s portrayal of Bangladesh and India as having the most cordial relationship, there are disagreements between the two countries and, both sides have a great deal riding on the outcome.

Sri Lanka

India is Sri Lanka’s only neighbour that is connected by a maritime border and the two have strong ties. Much has been written about India’s involvement in Sri Lanka’s civil war, but the most recent point of contention between the two countries is over strategic issues and the problem of illegal fishing.

The ‘Sri Lanka-China Axis’ is the real threat that India is currently facing. Despite having economic ties with India, Sri Lanka has shifted its focus to China in the last few decades. Sri Lanka and China signed a $1 billion deal in 2007 to build a deep-water port in Hambantota. Later that year, the Sri Lankan government hired a Chinese firm to build and operate Colombo’s South Container Terminal. In 2016, China began a 1.4-billion-dollar project in Colombo Port City as part of Beijing’s ambitious plan to build a modern-day Silk Road across Asia. To counter China’s economic build-up in Sri Lanka, India intends to construct Trincomalee Port, which will serve as an Indian counterweight to Chinese developments at Hambantota Port.

The fishing dispute between the two neighbouring states is a constant source of concern. Sri Lanka has expressed concern about illegal fishing by Indian fishermen in its territorial waters across the Palk Strait and has arrested Indian fishermen who have violated their International Maritime Boundary Line (IMBL). Kachchative Island, which India ceded to Sri Lanka in 1976 as part of the Kachachativ Island pact, is also a source of potential conflict. The state of Tamil Nadu claims that the island is part of Indian territory, with the additional claim that Tamil fishermen have the right to fish in the aforesaid area.

Nepal

Nepal and India have generally had a cordial relationship throughout history, owing to the fact that the two countries share an open border of approximately 1770 kilometres. They have finalised maps covering 98 percent of the boundary, but the game that has been played by both states is in the western Nepal region over Lipulekh pass, Kalapani, and Limpiyadhura.

Sorce: BBC

The situation worsened when India’s Home Ministry released a new edition of its political map, which included the disputed Kalapani region in the Himalayas as part of India. The Kalapani area is strategically important because it serves as a tri-junction between China, India, and Nepal. In addition, India’s defence minister virtually inaugurated a new 80-kilometre-long road in the Himalayas at the Lipulekh pass on 8th May 2020. The Nepalese government retaliated by accusing India of altering the status quo without consulting its diplomats. The administration of Prime Minister Khadga Oli issued a new political map of Nepal that included Kalapani, Lipulekh, and Limpiyadhura under Nepalese territory. As a result, the situation escalated, resulting in a standoff between soldiers on both sides of the border. A noteworthy question is that why Nepal, a landlocked country that relies heavily on Indian imports, took such a hard-line approach. In recent years, China has included Nepal in its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), filling the gap with investments, aid, and loans. As of now, India is not the sole exporter of goods to Nepal, and the Lipulekh pass is extremely important to India because it was used against China in 1962; after the humiliating defeat, the latter is more concerned about the Chinese intrusion via that route.

Conclusion

Indian hostility against its neighbours speaks volumes about the state’s aggressive actions and expansionist objectives. Pursuing a policy of strong diplomatic endeavours and lobbying in regional and international institutions allows them to behave in accordance with their national interests in the region, and with impunity. Seeking to be the dominant power in South Asia, India has taken steps that have increased animosities with other regional states, and not only Pakistan. The territorial issues with China have increased in frequency in the past few years, while the maritime disputes with Sri Lanka have a long history along with the ethnicity issues. Bangladesh, remains mired in territorial and water conflicts, while formerly friendly relations with Nepal are now becoming strained due to the Modi government’s expansionist objectives.

The blame for the strained relationship between the two bordering states does not lie only with Pakistan. The onus of enmity and antagonism falls squarely on Indian shoulders, and the burden will not be lifted until the BJP leadership reconsiders its foreign policy decisions and expansionist ambitions in South Asia.


 

Understanding and incorporating local perspectives into UN Peacekeeping Operations

Peace cannot be kept by force; it can only be achieved by understanding.” – Albert Einstein

Peace, in its traditional sense, refers to a state of being which is free from conflict and hostility. Peacekeeping refers to facilitating and maintaining peace between nations and communities at conflict. At a global scale, peacekeeping with the most coverage and reportage since the second half of the 20th century has involved the United Nations (UN) in some capacity.

The well-known association between peacekeeping and the UN came to the limelight in the when the UNTSO (United Nations Truce Supervision Organization) was established and sent to the Middle East to oversee a ceasefire between the Arab states and the state of Israel, just after the latter’s creation. Ironically, although to this day the conflict between Palestinians and Israel shows no signs of ending with any finality, the creation of UNTSO spawned a series of peacekeeping efforts by the UN across the globe in war-torn areas. This was with varied success rates, such as the UNMOGIP (United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan) which was tasked with monitoring the state of relations between the two countries and to report on the efficacy and violations of the ceasefire. Since the end of the Cold War, the scale and the scope of UN peacekeeping operations has expanded but its results have not always been fruitful in terms of facilitating lasting peace.

Led by some the world’s most powerful nations i.e. the US, Russia, England, China and France, the UN continued to send its peacekeeping missions to various conflict zones such as Israel, Lebanon, the Congo, Cyprus, Egypt, Western Sahara, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and so on; but at times, the effectiveness of these efforts has been a source of debate, given the correlation between the political interests of nations that influence the UN’s decision making and the countries where UN peacekeeping missions are deployed. Perhaps there are times when the limit and scope of UN peacekeeping is at the mercy of the economic and political interests of its powerful member nations and their international diplomatic agendas. There is the example of the example of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) where the UN’s MONUSCO has been active since 1999; numerous multinational mining corporations there have been urging the UN to prolong MONUSCO’s mandate, amidst allegations that the extent of the peacekeeping forces’ stay is linked to keeping an eye on foreign interests; this is coupled with assertions that the operations have created lucrative commercial opportunities for troops from different countries.

Indeed, it has been argued that peacekeeping agendas can at times be akin to imperialist agendas; Rather than help transform local societies into a sustainable, peaceful state of existence keeping in view their own local traditions and their economic, political and social needs, the powerful states at the helm of UN peacekeeping missions can at times be accused of influencing local politics and reshaping societies according to their own version of moralities and political preferences. Resultantly, more often than not, their efforts serve only to maintain the political and social status-quo at the international level – the very same political order which may have indirectly led towards creation of the conflicts in the first place – an idea acknowledged by Critical Theory in the works of Pawlowska and Pugh (2005).This approach and lens to look at the peacekeeping missions is also endorsed by well-known political scholars and authors including Robert Cox, Hall, Pingeot, Mckinney and Miller, to name a few.

A recent study in the American Political Science Review noted that the effectiveness of the UN’s peacekeeping efforts is strongest when all players from the host states or the countries involved are part of the process of reforms. One does not have to look farther than the Israel–Palestine conflict, which still rages on, to realize the rationale for the argument; since its early days, the US, a powerful player in the UN’s decision making process, voted against the involvement of Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) in the peacekeeping process and talks to end the conflict with Israel. In similar fashion, Nicholas Sambanis, a Professor of Political Science at The University of Pennsylvania and a researcher of civil wars and ethnic conflicts, when commenting on the efficacy of the UN’s peacekeeping efforts, notes that the positive effects of UN missions dwindle once the peacekeepers leave the country, suggesting that long-lasting peace has not always been the forte of UN’s missions nor at the forefront of its key agendas.

It is important to realize that each regional conflict has its own particular roots and causes, and a formula or strategy which worked in one region cannot necessarily be successfully implemented in a different region without involving local representation from both sides of the conflict. While letting the locals be actively involved in deciding the fate of their own countries can run the risk of involving bias and actors working to further their own agendas instead of focusing on a sustained peace beneficial to both sides, an effective and lasting peace is unlikely to be attained if peacekeepers are unable to appropriately grasp the basis of the conflict at the grassroots level – an understanding which cannot be garnered without the adequate participation of local actors. At many of the UN’s peacekeeping missions, an inclination towards quick-fixes and striking deals between the elite and focusing on elections can be observed, rather than strategizing peacekeeping efforts to be a custom fit with societal limitations based on local knowledge and understanding the host community’s core needs. Far too often, socio-economic reforms and reorganizations are secondary to the alignment of local political interests with those of influential countries forming part of the UN decision making entity. A reluctance from these influential countries can also be noted in the way UN’s peacekeeping forces are composed; they consist primarily of soldiers from third world countries such as Bangladesh, Nepal, India, Rwanda, Ethiopia, Pakistan, etc., and from countries directly affected by the conflicts. Troops from wealthy countries involved in decision making have far less representation.

Scholars such as David Chandler and Joshua Craze argue that peacebuilding ought not to start with a forced introduction of international blue prints or techniques which were effective elsewhere, but with an in-depth understanding of the crux of local conflicts – which may be common across different missions but with different underlying foundations. Consider the example of Haiti and South Sudan, which showed failed efforts from the UN peacekeeping mission that were based on the disarmament, demobilization and reintegration programs used to good effect in Burundi and Sierra Leone. By the same token, John Paul Lederach, a Professor of International Peacebuilding at the University of Notre Dame and a leading policy-academic, highlighted the ineffectiveness of the ‘top-down’ approach of peacekeeping which focuses more on elite interactions without always covering the interests of the society as a whole, often letting the roots of the conflict continue to spread unabated. Severine Autesserre, a French political scientist, lends support to the idea of ‘bottom-up’ peacebuilding in which the emphasis of efforts is linked to the empowerment of local communities, in order for them to determine how best to promote peace. The importance of international peacekeeping interventions cannot be understated, however; it is imperative that they are on the same page as the local peacebuilding agenda rather than enforcing their own version. There is a greater need to integrate local perceptions and societal expectations into the decision making and planning processes of deploying peacekeeping efforts across regions which the UN’s key decision making countries could not be more culturally and economically different to.

National Security Policy of Pakistan 2022-2026: A Balanced Approach for Addressing Major Security Issue

A rational approach of Pakistan for addressing its mainstream security issues has led political authorities to proclaim a well-structured and well-defined framework of national security in the form of the National Security Policy of Pakistan 2022-2026. The first such policy in the country’s history, it has various unique characteristics, primarily its citizen-centric mainstream framework with an exclusive focus on economic security.

The conceptual foundations of the NSP lie in an exclusive emphasis on both dimensions of security threats, traditional and non-traditional in nature. The formulation of a comprehensive policy framework of the NSP is based on a prudent approach of the contemporary government for redefining and improving the concept of security in a more constructive way. In it, the security of the citizens, in terms of safety, dignity and prosperity, has been considered equally important to the security of the state. This feature of the NSP reflected a balance between the traditional and non-traditional domains of security threats. This draws primarily from the greater idea of an Islamic welfare state.

Moreover, the unanimous position of the government beyond the conventional societal and political divisions of the nation has become the actual strength of the policy. To cultivate consensus of the nation over major security issues, the National Security Division of Pakistan spent seven years conducting different levels of consultations. The engagement of the government with different segments of society helped the policymaking circles of Islamabad to avail new opportunities to counter major security threats to the nation. The pragmatic and impartial process of the NSP formulation was initiated in 2014 with the objective of bringing various divisions of the society on a single point agenda by arranging meetings with the concerned authorities and mainstream stakeholders of the country. This formally involved all federal ministries and divisions as well as the provincial governments, including representations from Gilgit-Baltistan and Azad Jammu and Kashmir. Input was also taken from 500 specialists and members of different circles of civil society. The views of university students were also taken as important feedback, reflective of government’s desire to emphasize the dynamic role of youth in nation-building.

The 48 page document issued for public consumption divides priority areas into six dimensions such as national cohesion, economic future, internal and external security issues, the problems of territorial integrity, and the areas of foreign relations and human security. The significance of the NSP with a brief conceptual description of national security is discussed in the initial two section of the document. With a clear vision for creating Pakistan as an Islamic welfare state, the NSP’s broader framework emphasizes the principles of justice, equality, and tolerance, equivalent to the values of peaceful co-existence with the territorially adjoining nations. Additionally, the objective of empowering leading institutions of the states is treated as the prerequisite for good governance. The conceptual descriptions of the policy categorically highlight the major state responses to the traditional security threats while defining the territorial integrity of the state in the domains of land, air, sea, space, and cyberspace. The integration of defence, deterrence, and diplomacy for the protection of sovereignty has been equated with the strengthening of space and cyberspace capabilities in the NSP document.        

While keeping in mind the evolving nature of great power politics and its regional influences on the nuclearised subcontinent, the NSP focuses on effective economic diplomacy. The projection of a positive image of Pakistan consisting of an economic and human-centric outlook is identified as the preferred strategy for countering various extents of propaganda tactics advanced by rivals in the international system. The peaceful resolution of the Kashmir issue and the issues of Indian Illegally Occupied Jammu and Kashmir (IIOK) has been emphasized in the NSP. The peace and stability of Afghanistan, the significance of the mega economic corridor project with China, Islamabad’s desire to improve bilateral ties with India, and achieving better cooperative ties with Iran are all clearly highlighted. In short, a brief description of Pakistan’s foreign relations with neighbouring countries provides a glimpse of Islamabad’s bilateral designs for managing South Asian affairs. Besides improving the conventional patterns of its foreign relations at bilateral and multilateral levels, an exclusive focus on healthcare can be observed, clearly reflected the learning of Pakistan during the global health crisis under the pandemic.  

The formulation of the well-defined and well-structured national security plan of Islamabad is reflective of the government’s vision for upholding the scope of a politically compact, economically developed and socially prosperous nation. Economic security has been identified as the gravitational point of the NSP because the contemporary economic crisis of Pakistan has convinced the leading government authorities on the principles of economic security, economic diplomacy, and economic development. In other words, with the greater reliance of the NSP on the principles of economic development and social prosperity, the leading government authorities have recognized the role of a strong economy in nation-building. Thus, the adaptation of a comprehensive policy covering all aspects of security clearly indicates Islamabad’s decisive approach for strengthening its position in regional and extra-regional affairs.

From Past to Present: The Cycle of Direct Violence and Internal Colonialism for Hazaras in Afghanistan

Introduction

General Chris Donahue’s departure from Hamid Karzai International Airport in late August 2021 marked a historic moment as the United States ended its two-decade war in Afghanistan. US intelligence agencies had believed that Kabul would fall within 90 days. The world was in shock when the Taliban took control of the capital within ten days on 15th August 2021, without resistance or bloodshed.

In Afghanistan, one community was concerned about the overwhelming power of the Taliban: the Afghan Hazaras. The Dari/Persian-speaking residents of the Turkish-Mongolian ethnic group, the third-largest ethnic group in the country who make up around 20% of the total Afghan population, had good reason to be worried when government officials fled the state and the Taliban took over the system. Almost two months after the Taliban takeover, on October 8, at least 72 Hazaras were slain at Kunduz’s Sayed Abad Mosque; this was followed by a suicide attack in Kandahar’s Bibi Fatima Mosque, which killed 63 people. The recent attacks on Hazaras make them fear an onset of genocide and ethnic cleansing, as they have long experienced institutional discrimination and marginalisation, social isolation, and direct violence. Historically marginalised, persistently discriminated against, and culturally varied, the Hazaras continue to be victims of extrajudicial killings, kidnappings, and disabilities orchestrated by the Taliban and other extremist groups. Hazaras are not only a target of the Taliban and other extremist organizations but have also been treated unjustly by previous Afghan governments.

The discriminatory behaviour of success Afghan governments towards Hazaras is evident at the political and economic levels. The latter have been oppressed since the 1800s, but the blueprint for internal colonialism was evident during Taliban rule in the 1990s. The purpose of this study is to examine the circumstances that the Hazaras experienced from the 19th century until Taliban rule in the late 1990s, as well as during the period of international intervention from 2001 onwards. The paper juxtaposes internal colonialism with direct violence against the Hazaras and how this can impact the current Taliban regime. Divided into different timelines from 1890 to 2020, it explains how the Hazaras were internally dominated by the core of Kabul, politically, economically, socially, and with massacres of minorities through direct violence.

Framework of Internal Colonialism

Internal colonialism seeks to explain the inferior situation of ethnic groups within the confines of a larger state ruled by other ethnicities. The term ‘internal colonialism’ was used first by V.I. Lenin and then by Antonio Gramsci as a framework to describe and explain the social, economic, and political inequalities that exist between regions within a social system. According to the process of modern colonialism, the system of exploitation between the imperial metropolitan state and that of the colonized nation is enforced; whereas in internal colonialism, an exploitative power relationship is created between the periphery [regions] and the core [the administrative metropolises].

Internal colonialism results from a spatially unequal wave of modernisation throughout the national territory which produces comparatively developed and less developed communities within the nation-state itself, as Michael Hechter argues. This leads to an unequal distribution of resources and power between the two groups. According to Hechter, from this moment on, the top group or the core strives to maintain and maximise its lead through measures to institutionalise the current hierarchical order. Part of this process involves regulating the distribution of highly authoritative social and political roles among institutions, communities, and regions that have been identified as members of a core group (by the core itself). A layered system is consequently produced and reproduced, which is characterised by a cultural division of labour that promotes different ethnic identification processes between two groups (and within them). The inner space of submissive and enslaved colonialism of marginalised groups generates prosperity in favour of areas and communities that are to be more closely linked to the core or centre of power and thus to the state itself. According to Hechter, what is closest to the centre is not often defined by geographical distance, as neighbouring cities and areas are often not distinguished by different treatment within nation-states based on religion, language, ethnicity, and culture. However, this approach might also be used to characterise disparities and inequalities in regions and within the state.

In addition to direct violence against the Hazara minority group, this study examines the violence perpetrated by the core against the periphery of Hazarajat (home of the Hazaras in Afghanistan) from the perspective of internal colonialism. An understanding of the Hazarajat as an internal colony of the core of Kabul would be essential to understand why the continued use of direct violence has stripped Hazaras of political and social hegemony in the Afghan government.

Identification of Hazaras 

The ethnic and religious landscape of Afghanistan is difficult to explain because of its complexity. To facilitate this explanation, Sayed Askar Mousavi compared Afghanistan to a Chinese box, filled with a series of smaller and smaller boxes. Inside the boxes of Afghanistan are different ethnic groups like the Hazaras and Nuristanis. Afghanistan is recognised and understood as a heterogeneous society that includes Pashtuns, Tajiks, Hazaras, Uzbeks, Aimaqs, and other ethnic minorities. Each of these ethnic groups shares a common family ancestry, homeland, memory, possibly religion, and a sense of national solidarity. Their identities are often being made as an outcome of interconnections and ties with other ethnic groups. Each of these ethnic groups identifies themselves in a certain way; that is, subjective and objective self-perception can contradict one another.

By and large, Hazarajat was perhaps the least fortunate place in Afghanistan, the lack of social, political, and financial opportunities, combined with an ever-changing security situation, prompted the relocation of millions of Hazaras to various locations within Afghanistan as well as in the neighbouring countries. The Hazaras are generally divided into clans depending on their areas of origin, such as Behsudi, Ghaznichi, and Oruzgani. In this ancestral division, the Hazaras were then strictly divided between the Twelver or Jafri and the Ismaili.

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Source Medium.com

                              

In any case, there has been speculation over the past few centuries regarding the origin of Hazaras in Afghanistan. The myths about the historical roots of the Hazaras were introduced by J.P. Ferrier, a French explorer who visited areas of Hazarajat in the first half of the 19th century. Perrier believed that Hazaras had been in the area since the time of Alexander the Great, according to Greek writer Curtius, who claimed Alexander met people while traveling via the central route in Afghanistan; they looked very much like the Hazaras of today. The second group of historians suggested that the Hazaras were descended from Mongolian soldiers who arrived in the region in the 13th century. Bernard Dorn, professor of Oriental literature at Kharkov Imperial University, suggested that the Hazaras are Mongols descended from several Turkish tribes.

1890-1978: Oppressed region of Hazarajat

The history of modern Hazaras may be traced back to the late 19th century when Emir Abdur Rahman was in charge, but their persecution began much earlier. The contemporary era of persecution began with events in the second half of the nineteenth century. The tyranny towards the Hazara chiefs, based on the allegations that they were foreign pagans, had a lasting impact on Afghanistan’s ethnic relations and political life. To justify his abuse, the Emir rationalized the Hazara conflict by creating the illusion of Hazaras being scared of Kabul’s rulers. When the Hazaras fought against the Pashtun rulers’ armies, they exacerbated the schism between the largely Sunni Pashtuns and the predominantly Shiite Hazaras, prompting Sunni clerics to issue fatwas (religious judgments) declaring the Hazaras to be pagans. This led to an exodus of the Hazaras to Quetta in modern-day Pakistan, Mashhad in Iran, and other parts of Central Asia. Those who stayed behind and did not pay their taxes were tortured or killed. The Emir supported the rejection of the Hazaras in the region, allocating undeveloped land to the Pashtuns and facilitating their settlement in the area. Several kings came and went, all of whom regarded the Hazaras as second-class citizens and supported the right of Kuchis (nomads) to the lands in Hazarajat. In the 1970s, the monarchy was overthrown and Afghanistan’s first president, Mohammad Daoud, assumed control. The new republic of Afghanistan continued to ignore the exploitation of the Hazaras at the hands of the Kuchis and forced the Hazaras to migrate to urban centres such as Mazar-e-Sharif and Kabul to escape the poverty of the Hazarajat. The institutional oppression and direct violence that made Hazaras extremely vulnerable during the 1970s resulted in social and political marginalization during the USSR invasion of Afghanistan.

1978-1996: Chaotic Situation During and after the Invasion of Soviet Union

President Daoud Khan’s tenure was short-lived, as a communist coup deposed his administration in April 1978, and the Peoples’ Democratic Party of Afghanistan, led by Nur Mohammad Taraki, took control. The movement, known as the Saur Revolution, swiftly sparked widespread insurgency and civil war in Afghanistan. During the Soviet invasion, the Hazaras hailing from the Hazarajat liberated the region from Soviet aggression, making it a non-autonomous state in the 1980s. Following the Soviet occupation, numerous anti-communist resistance groups adopted the name ‘mujahideen’, which means ‘holy warrior’ in Arabic. The Hazaras were expelled from their homeland by the Communists, but instead of bringing peace, Shiite anti-communist parties ended up fighting. Following the failure of the invasion, Afghanistan’s communist-backed President, Dr. Muhammad Najibullah, had to resign in April 1992, shortly after the disintegration of the Soviet Union. After the Soviet war in Afghanistan, the Khazarian fighter Abdul Ali Mazari, with active Iranian support, managed to unite the Hazaras and the Shiite groups fighting for control of Hazarajat under the banner of Hezbe-e- Wahdat: The Solidarity Party. Two presidents were appointed briefly in the meantime, but none of them could control the aggravating situation of the country. Fierce fighting broke out between the ISA camp and the army in Kabul. On 11th February 1993, 750 Hazaras civilians were killed in the Afshar massacre in western Kabul. ISA troops and the Pashtun warlords of Abdul Rasul Sayyaf attacked Afshar, killing 7,080 people on the streets.

Internal marginalisation followed by direct violence was a recurring theme throughout the Soviet and post-Soviet eras. The post-withdrawal time was chaotic, with several governments being around, but the conditions and misery endured by Afghan minorities did not improve, and the years that followed were even worse for them when the Taliban came to power.

1996-2001: Persecution of Hazaras

In the turmoil and brutalities of war, the Taliban emerged as the ruling party, and the situation turned out to be an ordeal for minorities. When the Taliban took control of Kabul in 1996, they convinced Abdul Ali Mazari, also known as Baba Hazara, to organize a meeting with them, which resulted in him being arrested and killed along with several of his closest companions. The slogans used by the Taliban for Hazaras were offensive and derogatory, giving complete freedom to the rest for the persecution of Hazaras.

“Tajikistan to Tajikistan, Uzbekistan to Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan to Turkmenistan, Hazaras to Iran or the road to the cemetery is Afghanistan” or “Hazaras are not Muslim. You will slaughter them. This is not a sin,” said Taliban governor Mullah Manon Niyaji.

In 1998, the Anti-Taliban’s Northern Alliance occupation of Mazar-e-Sharif was abruptly ended and Taliban troops entered the city, leading to a bloody uprising that killed about 2,000 people, mostly Hazaras civilians. Human Rights Watch said the “second massacre at Mazar-i-Sharif was one of the worst atrocities in Afghanistan’s long civil war”. In addition to the 2,000 dead, more than 4,500 people were arrested and detained for months while hundreds escaped to the neighbouring districts in the rain to avoid rockets and airstrikes. Two years later, around 8th May 2000, another massacre of civilians occurred in Khazar near the Lobatak Pass, north of the city of Bamiyan.

The Taliban’s five years in power were marked by direct violence, massacres, and human rights violations, yet a handful of people supported minorities like the Hazaras in their fight against the administration of the Islamic Emirates of Afghanistan. The terrorist attacks of 11th September 2001, and the Bush administration’s decision to eradicate al-Qaeda from Afghan soil have been heavily criticized, but these actions appear to have saved the lives of the Hazaras

  • 2016: Era of international interventions

With the fall of the Taliban government and the beginning of an era of international intervention, the minority groups were thrust into a time of structural violence inflicted by the rulers’ colonial minds. The Bonn Agreement served as a roadmap for the transition of the state into a multi-ethnic, gender-sensitive, and fully representative Afghan government by the preamble of the agreement. In the upcoming years, the process of the DDR, or disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration, as well as the permanent constitution will be worked out within the given time frame. The first transitional government consisted of 11 Pashtuns, 8 Tajiks, 5 Shiites / Hazar, 3 Uzbeks, and 2 other minorities. Hamid Karzai was elected Chairman of the interim administration by the Emergency Loya Jirga, as well as being Afghanistan’s first democratically elected president in 2004 and again in 2009.

Some things have remained unchanged over the years, such as ethnic politics and escalating structural violence against minorities, especially Hazaras. In the post-Taliban era, the inclusive concept of government aimed at alleviating ethnic divisions inadvertently led to greater ethnicization in politics. The Bonn Agreement created a formula of ethnic hierarchy that led to the formation of ethnicity as a political factor in the Afghan system. First Vice Presidents Ahmad Zia Masood and Qasim Fahim were Tajiks, while Karim Khalil, who served as the leader of the Hezb-e-Wahdat, was the second Vice President of 2004 and 2014. Ethnic representation was thus reduced to the distribution of offices without addressing the underlying sources of ethnic politics in the state. The Karzai and subsequent governments recognise minority rights, at least on paper, but most governments and international community funds have been transferred to more powerful ethnic groups like the Pashtuns or Tajiks, or more accessible cities like Kabul, Herat, and Mazar- e Sharif. Lack of investment and continued discrimination resulted due to the increased structural violence against minorities in the state

The Socio-Economic condition of Hazaras post 9/11

The situation in Hazarajat has been dire since Afghanistan’s independence. Years of fighting, oppression by the Taliban, and famine have severely deteriorated this naturally destitute region, destroying most of the country’s fundamental development and economic activity. There was a lack of proper sanitary conditions and drainage channels, healthcare services, school buildings and supplies, well-trained teachers, drinking water, workplaces, and decent roads in Hazara-dominated districts.  The two districts dominated by the Hazara population were severely affected, namely Qarabagh and Bamiyan. Qarabagh was indeed very poverty-stricken, with inadequate toilet facilities and sewage systems, only one run-down hospital with 36 beds, 3% of households with no earnings, and a literacy rate of 35%. Bamiyan’s provincial profile, like that of Qarabagh, has gone through the worst of times. Bamiyan was regarded as one of Afghanistan’s poorest and least lucrative agricultural areas, with severe malnutrition and a lack of adequate school facilities. Even though a heavy amount of money was coming into Afghanistan through international aid in 2009, the Hazaras were regarded as the poorest ethnic minority in the country. Despite the Hazaras’ desire to seek higher education and improve their social and financial condition, they received little assistance. Instead, the Hazaras attempted to pull themselves up by their bootstraps, seizing new chances in education and work. A significant minority population passed college entrance exams and enrolled in higher education, with Hazara girls surpassing other genders and ethnic groups.

These are just a few examples of how the Hazaras have been denied their basic rights such as access to education, food, and shelter.  Khaled Hosseini’s Kite Runner sparked worldwide interest in the plight of Hazaras and how its fanaticism is taking root in Afghan society. The novel contains frequent references to Hazara prejudice, such as being labelled “mice-eating, flat-nosed, load-carrying donkeys.” Hazaras, who have been stereotyped as aggressive and repulsive, resisted their oppressors, which exacerbated the atrocities inflicted on them by every government.

Hazaras under the National Unity Government

Following 9/11, the Taliban intensified their attacks on non-Pashtun places. To consolidate authority over the areas inhabited by Hazaras, the Taliban launched direct and indirect attacks on virtually every area in Hazaras. Since the National Unity Government took control in 2014, the Hazaras have faced adversity due to direct and structural violence. Not only have the Taliban stepped up their attacks and turned their attention to the Hazaras region, but the Islamic State of Khorasan province ISKP has committed atrocities on public locations such as educational institutions, mosques, religious gatherings, and rallies. The following data shows attacks by the Taliban and the ISKP against Hazaras.

(Source: Human Rights Watch)

The state of the Hazaras has always been precarious, whether with foreign intervention or during the democratic administration of the National Unity Government, but now that the United States has withdrawn the most pressing concern is what the future holds for minorities, especially Hazaras.

Is the future bleak or bright?

To build an inclusive administration in Afghanistan, the Taliban accepted members of minority groups into their temporary structure. Dr. Muhammad Hassan Gaysi was sworn in as the Afghan health minister. But will these little gestures pave the way for improved relationships and acknowledgement within the state? The recent attacks on Hazaras offer little hope to Hazaras and also those seeking peace and prosperity in the state and the region. The Taliban in Kabul operate with a colonial stance, taking control and refusing to allow others to lead an independent life. As William Wordsworth said, ‘Life is divided into three terms – that which was, which is, and which will be. Let us learn from the past to profit by the present, and from the present, to live better in the future’. It would appear that when the Hazaras turn back to find direction, there is no hope for the future.

The emergence of a moderate Afghanistan, a patchwork of modernisation and extremism, and a stride reversal policy, are four possibilities that might represent the government’s approach towards Hazaras in Afghanistan. In the first scenario, the Taliban uphold all their pledges made since their arrival in Kabul. It implies that the governing Taliban act responsibly as a political player both within and outside of the state. This will not result in a progressive democratic state or a very inclusive society, but it will stamp its administration with some degree of inclusion. In such cases, the Hazaras would be given their due share of administrative responsibilities and will be able to live peacefully without fear of discrimination or marginalization. The rest of the two aforementioned scenarios will be ineffective because, if the Taliban pursue a patchwork of modernization and extremism, the Hazaras would be on the receiving end of extremism. The most likely scenario is the stride reversal strategy. In this situation, the Taliban will take steps that appear to encourage openness and inclusivity at first, giving the appearance of a steady shift toward a more moderate Afghanistan. However, after worldwide recognition and a seat in the international community as well as investments in large infrastructure and mining projects, the government would gradually restrict the political and social activities of minorities. The above possibilities indicate that the Hazaras are unlikely to be part of the core of Kabul and the colonial mindsets of the Taliban will not allow minorities like the Hazara to gain institutional authority. Throughout the years of democratic governments or Taliban regimes, the Hazaras have been threatened by direct violence and remained victims of social and political marginalization, as the colonial mindset persists. Nobody in a position of authority is willing to relinquish their power or involve others to make the system more inclusive. Things will remain static for the Hazara community which will have to make a concerted effort to ensure their survival and a better socio-economic position in their ongoing fight against oppression in a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan.

Brokering National Security Policy

The public version of Pakistan’s National Security Policy (NSP) released by Prime Minister Imran Khan on 14th January 2022 promises a citizen centric ‘Comprehensive National Security’, which puts economic security at the core by labelling the traditional ‘guns versus butter’ debate as ‘archaic.’ Notwithstanding the assertions by the National Security Advisor (NSA) emphasizing the symbiotic linkage between traditional and non-traditional security, the NSP is likely to trigger a vibrant debate on what constitutes national security, and whether it would be possible for a country like Pakistan to shift its focus away from geo-politics and towards geo-economics by neglecting the regional and global security challenges.

The release of the NSP is a welcome step but the overzealous defense and celebrations of a document whose summary has only been released, while the major contents remain classified, could lead to false expectations. It also risks projecting the impression that there existed no policy framework in the past to prioritize national security needs; this is not true, and could create unnecessary friction amongst various stakeholders that are performing as per the mandate provided by the Constitution.

Most countries formally declare their NSP for public consumption to convey their national priorities, which are generally shaped by three main considerations: 1) what role is being envisaged for the state in the international system; 2) the challenges and opportunities; and 3) the role and responsibilities of all the stakeholders in addressing these challenges and opportunities.

Does the new NSP justify these perquisites?           Pakistan may have the vision and the potential to become a regional trade hub, but it cannot overlook the challenges posed by continued instability in Afghanistan and by India’s perpetual animosity towards Pakistan. Similarly, the geo-economic vision can only materialize if the country has economic sovereignty, which at present seems gravely compromised due to the excessive involvement of international monetary institutions.     

The claim that the newly launched NSP for the ‘first time’ puts human security at the core – is also misleading. National security as a concept has always been human centric, and states are the ‘means’ and not the ‘ends.’ A security policy that does not cater to its people (nation’s) needs cannot be termed as ‘national.’ According to Buzan, individual security “represents a distinct and important level of analysis”, but “is essentially subordinate to the higher level political structure of state and international system.” States “constitute the primary nexus when it comes to security for individuals and groups,… and the single most important macro-structure with consequences for individual security.” Therefore, whatever national decision makers do to strengthen state security in a democratic society, must ideally strengthen the individual’s security.

These principles are an integral part of the national security policies of most countries that have publicly released documents. The Interim National Security Strategic Guidance (INSSG) released by the Biden Administration in March 2021 outlined three main priorities: 1) to protect the security of the American people; 2) to expand economic prosperity and opportunity; and, 3) to defend democratic values.

In pursuit of these principles the US committed to:

  • “Defend and nurture the underlying sources of American strength, including our people, our economy, our national defense, and our democracy at home;
  • “Promote a favourable distribution of power to deter and prevent adversaries from directly threatening the United States and our allies, inhibiting access to the global commons, or dominating key regions; and
  • “Lead and sustain a stable and open international system, underwritten by strong democratic alliances, partnerships, multilateral institutions, and rules.”

Similarly, the UK’s Integrated Review 2021 outlined three fundamental national interests, i.e., sovereignty, security, and prosperity. The Review also sets four objectives for the UK to pursue in the best interests of their people:

  • Sustaining strategic advantage through science and technology
  • Shaping the open international order of the future
  • Strengthening security and defence at home and overseas, and
  • “Building resilience at home and overseas

The Chinese also articulated their national security priorities in an overarching manner to meet their leadership’s objectives by introducing the concept of ‘Comprehensive Security’; it incorporates eleven different aspects of security, including political, military, territorial, economic, cultural, social, scientific-technological, information, ecological, nuclear, and resource security. These aspects have been mentioned to safeguard their political system from external influences. Interestingly, some of it has also been reflected in Pakistan’s NSP document without taking into consideration the ideological and capacity differential between the two countries.

The Chinese leadership views economic and military security as being mutually dependent. Expansion of military power is considered essential to realize the leadership’s goal of making China a global power, and to achieve this objective, a strong economy is essential. Pakistan’s NSP also makes a similar promise of a bigger share of pie for the military as and when the economy grows; but it does not take into consideration the fact that while China can choose when and how much to spend to achieve its global ambitions, Pakistan is compelled to maintain minimum conventional and nuclear capabilities that deter India from venturing into a military conflict.

Conclusion.     A National Security Policy is unique for all countries and is shaped by the national power potential. Since no country has absolute power, states develop their security strategies by exploiting their strengths and to overcome weaknesses. Merely announcing a shift to geo-economics without streamlining the domestic economy or addressing institutional and structural shortcomings, can only create further confusion, besides triggering an unnecessary ‘guns Vs butter’ debate. This could also potentially make it difficult for the future national leadership to spare more resources for traditional military threats which are likely to increase due to continued instability in Afghanistan and India’s growing regional ambitions. If a workable and realistic NSP has to be negotiated, it must be in line with the existing national power potential that can address contemporary traditional as well as non-traditional security threats through the available means, and cannot merely be based on a vision which, even if desirable, could take several decades to materialize.

(The author is a co-founder of Strafasia. Views expressed by the author are his own) 

CRITICAL TERRORISM STUDIES: A WAY FORWARD?

Post 9/11 developments were a significant temporal juncture for the emergence of critical terrorism scholarship/studies (CTS) in the world. Traditional terrorism studies (TTS) had proven unable to predict the attacks of 11th September 2001, and could not possibly deal with the modern forms of conflict/terrorism involving warring parties using a disproportionate amount of force. This gap in the knowledge warranted innovation in existing theoretical frameworks, to make sense of the causes leading to the conflict.

Since the 1990s the terrorism studies arena has been dominated by the conventional terrorism studies strand that has inherent methodological, political and epistemological problems. As an insight effectively narrates, “the terrorism scholarship was innocent of methodology”. Traditional security studies have been saturated by militaristic, security centered approaches which perpetuated state narratives of the event and the subsequent agenda based policy prescriptions.

The early TTS scholarship was politically biased, lacked methodological rigor and was of short term imminent efficacy, rather than offering a deeper insight into the context of the conflict. It was accused of creating dichotomies of ‘good’ versus ‘evil’, and peddling historicized and depoliticized accounts of the events in question. In the case of 9/11, this involved a portrayal of American innocence, ignoring its history of perpetuating overt wars, covert operations primarily intended to destabilize regimes, funding anti-state elements in states, and creating a new class of war benefiters to prolonging conflicts for profit. All this kept the Military Industrial Complex a well-oiled machine, churning death and chaos.

This American self-exclusion from the disasters of their own making led to bypassing an opportunity to find the root causes of the conflict, and jumping on the problem solving band wagon with policy action. Academic legitimacy was also a cause of contention for its traditional approaches to terrorism studies, owing to the research-based fact that the majority of literature produced in this strand was by ‘one off-ers’ hailing from eclectic backgrounds and a myriad of research disciplines. These intellectuals who had their go at feeding the discipline in infancy did not have substantial expertise to broach these subjects, thereby bringing the legitimacy of their authorship in question. In the absence of alternative knowledge, the same old normative ideas were perpetuated, which led to a saturation induced replication in the knowledge base. The substance of orthodox terrorism studies was also mired in the problem of relying on secondary data sources, rather than primary interviews conducted at the site of conflict and of people who were actually affected. The spatial proximity between the researcher and the researched was created through the analysis of texts, books and every option besides actual field work, compromising the purpose of the enquiry itself.

Critical strands thus emerged as a rebel crew of academic scholarship that focused on intellectual caveats produced through the nature of traditional terrorism scholarship. The traditional approach was a top down enforcement of status quo ideas, while the critical terrorism stand took the bottom up approach and used an individualistic turn to explain the phenomena. The scholarship questioned the social and power dimensions of the discourses in terrorism studies and the categories and labels that perpetuate power. They inquired into the frames of reference that generated the militaristic, security-centered approaches, and the context of the events which led to the point of conflict came to light. Critical terrorism studies integrated theoretical insights from psychology, sociology, anthropology, gender studies, peace and conflict studies, medical science, etc. The reflective capacity of the critical terrorism strand made it popular and relevant in the game. CTS redefined the term “terrorism” itself and explored the marginalization, the lack of freedom, and depravity-induced grievances. It investigated the construct of “terrorism” itself and explored the question of what went into making a terrorist. This critical scholarship adds nuance to the lithified understanding of the concept as well and helps in seeing beyond stereotypes.

The Princeton Press published a case study called “The Engineers of Jihad” which focused on the symbolic sociological variables during the life histories of people who chose to become terrorists. The historicizing and politicization of the actor and the act itself diagnoses the problem from its roots and informs a nuanced explanation of both sides of the coin, i.e. the victim and the oppressor. The scholars hence negate the problem-solving efficacy of traditional terrorism studies by presenting alternative accounts of events; they also raise the possibility of counterinsurgency programs being ineffective without an iota of information about the background of the event, and mention that maybe political reformation will do the necessary. The use of suspected communities in place of the wholesale categorical labeling of terrorists was suggested by scholars, instead of demonizing the whole populate. Scholars questioned the possibility of state oppression qualifying as terrorism. The labels of “Islamic terrorism” and “terrorists” have been deconstructed by the critical terrorism scholars and it negates the “few labels” problem of traditional terrorism studies.

By being qualitatively more eclectic and intricate in nature, the critical scholarship faces a setback by being less policy relevant. The traditional terrorism scholarship, with all its problems, could act on imminent basis with policy outcomes (valid or invalid), instead of questioning its stance. It would have diffused the purpose of this scholarship.  The other foundational problem in critical studies also critiques its emancipatory stance, which has strong colonial undertones and is an issue in itself. However, the reflexivity of critical terrorism scholarship, coupled with practicality offered by terrorism scholarship, can lead terrorism scholarship on right path by contextualizing the conflict and creating objectives for solving the problem. Hence, critical terrorism studies in a supportive stance can move from the narrative capacity into the action research, and an integrated frame work can be more effective.

Peace-Keeping Operations And Sustainable Development Goals: Counterbalancing Neo-Colonialism

The post-colonial world has exerted great pressure on colonial masters in a way that undermines their hegemonic power on the developing states. The output of post-colonialism is the neo-colonial structure in the contemporary world i.e. a gift from colonial legacies.

Global and Business Concept. Businessman miniature people figure standing on map and looking to mini world ball.

Colonialism worked on the principle of exploiting the resources of the global South, while engaging in trade and incorporating missions to create a place for colonial powers. The post-colonial era after the formation of international institutions (United Nations, World Bank etc) paved the road for the neo-colonialist agenda in the developing world as well as socialist regimes to compensate the third world through western economic and political models. The true essence of neo-colonialism lies in the state holding sovereignty only theoretically, where state policies are determined by foreign powers. It involves reimbursements towards the cost of operating the neo-colonial state, the alignment of civil servants in positions where they can determine policy, and the management of financial infrastructure through the implementation of a banking system by international institutions controlled by great powers. Big state and big corporations influence others politically and domestically as a result of neo-colonialist policies. This article presents the contrasting issue of peacekeeping operations and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in relation to the neo-colonialist agenda.

Foreign investments and aid are employed for exploiting third world states rather than improving their status. Neo-colonial investments deepen the divide between the ‘have’ and ‘have-not’ countries, with the goal of maintaining financial dominance of the developed world over the developing world. Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are another tool used to ensure major power control over politico-economic stability. The SDGs ostensibly strive to minimize poverty, promote socioeconomic inclusiveness, and preserve the environment with the help of 17 goals and 169 targets (UNSDSN); however, it has been argued that unlike the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), the SDGs are difficult to attain and are unquantifiable. Easterly argues that the United Nations, on its mission to improve the standing of third world states, never explained or defined the word ‘Sustainable’. For them everything is a priority which encompasses nothing that is actually important. He claims that the basis of the SDGs is to find answers to the question ‘What should we do?’ but that this is determined by fallacious arguments based on ambiguity in implementing the necessary actions, and action recommendations are the only way to encourage development. The answer to that question lies in the hands of neo-colonialist powers. For example in order to eradicate poverty by 2030, the poverty line has been measured against people living under $1.25 per day. But the credibility of this action falls when the neo-colonialist institution added hundreds or thousands of people in this line by making it $1.9 per day. This instance creates a malicious structure of neo-colonialist powers and their manipulation in order to serve their interests by exploiting ‘others’ resources.

The United Nations estimated that these aid programmes account for only 0.5% of the total income of the powers providing them. In the context of health, vector-borne and infectious diseases have seen a global upsurge during the past decade. Almost more than 2 billion people are without safe water and sanitation, causing diarrhea in children. On the other hand, maternal deaths have been higher in the developing world, i.e. 1 in every 41 women, compared to 1 in every 3,300 women in developed countries. There is also the factor of climate change which has disturbed the environment; the dominant powers have contributed significantly to climate change by producing carbon dioxide in order to expand their industries, while the developing world is often compelled to accept the imperialist powers’ industrial goods at the expense of competitive providers around the world diminishing their economic power. All these evidences suggests that SDGs are another tool used by developed states to undermine developing states.

Neo-colonialism is a threat to world peace where imperial powers brought military conflicts into developing countries for their vested interests. These powers exert their influence by stationing their troops in these states to counter conflict and provide military aid, in the name of humanitarian military interventions. United Nations Peacekeeping missions carried out by blue-helmeted troops in war-torn countries are scattered around 14 conflict-prone states. These blue-helmets seek to provide protection to civilians by training police, disarming militias, monitoring human rights violations, promoting gender equality, organizing elections and providing relief funds. But in reality, the UN peacekeepers failed to do their jobs in most areas, as a result of the policies of member states. The involvement of UN peacekeepers managed to alleviate violent conflict in certain cases, but not in others. For instance, in the Yom Kippur War of 1973, UN peacekeepers were effective in maintaining the cease-fire along the Egyptian-Israeli frontier in the Sinai, but they were ineffective in doing so along the Israeli-Syrian border in the Golan Heights. The United Nations’ strategy supports top-down negotiations involving elites and emphasizes elections. This top-down approach makes it more decisive in the eyes of local residents, portraying them as passive outsiders who’ve been apathetic towards their task. For example, Salvadorans labeled the peacekeepers as ‘Vacaciones Unidas’ (United Vacations), Bosnians criticized them as ‘Smurfs’ etc. on the other hand,  abusive behavior and unnecessary violence have afflicted several UN peacekeeping missions, that have been characterized by rape and sexual assault, mismanagement, and much worse. According to Edmonds, such behavior discredits the credibility of the states that provide troops while also posing ethical and moral challenges for military and civilian authorities. The High Level Independent Panel on Peace Operations (HIPPO) highlighted two conflicting ideologies based on the essential values of peacekeeping, namely that the values are outgrown and need alteration in the light of these challenges. The report advocated adaptable and constructive understanding of the key principles. It reaffirmed that UN peacekeeping forces must be placed as part of a wider political process, that the host-state administration’s approval is necessary for peacekeeping operations and that it must be strengthened. Other participant’s approval was mentioned as necessary, although it wasn’t always attainable, especially in cases where conflict was still happening. The essence of peace building, according to Lederach, was indigenous participation, not Western knowledge. The main source for peace building in the longer term has always been anchored in the local people, not in accordance with legal representation in government, but in relation to the social dynamics and relationships in which they were involved. In this situation, the perspective towards the local was transformed, and individuals in the context would be seen as resources rather than recipients. On the other hand, the neo-colonialist states are on the table while the third world countries are on ground with lack of local understanding of conflict zones and proper equipments. For instance, Bangladesh is participating in more peacekeeping missions having 159 fatalities in contrast with China, Russia and United States of America with 20, 51 and 78 fatalities respectively. The present condition of peacekeeping is a mere Band-Aid on a bleeding wound. In conclusion, SDGs and UN Peacekeeping operations are examples of tools of neo-colonialism in order to oppress third world states so that neo-colonialist states can maintain their hegemonic economic and political power. The instances provided above demonstrate how the West exploits the third world states.