The US Central Command (CENTCOM) Chief General Michael E. Kurilla in his recent testimony before the Senate Arms Services Committee stated that he is “confident in [Pakistan’s] nuclear security procedures.” The remarks made in the backdrop of the ongoing economic and political crisis in the country coincided with another statement by Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Ishaq Dar where he had asserted that “nobody has the right to tell Pakistan what range of missiles it can have and what nuclear weapons it can have. We have to have our own deterrence.” The two statements given in a different context with distinct objectives triggered an unnecessary debate in the country. On one hand, the US CENTCOM Chief’s remarks were being projected as an endorsement of Pakistan’s security credentials, but on the other hand the Finance Minister’s statement at the floor of the Senate created an impression that the ongoing negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are being deliberately stalled at the behest of the US, to coerce Pakistan to curtail its nuclear and missile programs. Bringing the focus on Pakistan’s nuclear program by the Finance Minister was disingenuous and may have intended to divert the focus away from continued failure to conclude an agreement with the IMF. This triggered unnecessary controversy in a country where nuclear program remains a sensitive issue and is often exploited by various elements for their own interests. The IMF was quick to refute the claim made by the Finance Minister, forcing him to clarify that his statement was taken out of context and “neither the IMF nor any other country has made any demands regarding Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities.” Notwithstanding this clarification, appearing to falsely accuse the IMF, not only brought a negative focus on the type and ranges of Pakistan’s missiles inventory but it may have further complicated the work of the government team negotiating an agreement with the IMF. There is a possibility that Finance Minister Dar’s remarks may have been intended to deliberately scuttle the negotiations with the IMF. The government knows that it may not be in a position to steer the country out of the current economic crisis even with the IMF
bailout package. To shift the blame from abject failure to achieve progress, Dar may have indulged himself in a ‘nuclearism’ behaviour with an intent to exploit public sensitivities and blaming the IMF for demands that were never made. This is not the first time that the ‘nuclear nationalism’ has been used by the political leaders for their personal and political interests. It had been exploited by various governments to build their nationalist credentials, to blame others, or to signal to the outside actors. The excessive politicization of country’s nuclear program has its own demerits as it heightens the public sensitivities that are easily exploited - both by the external as well as internal elements. Finance Minister Dar’s reference that “nobody has the right to tell Pakistan what range of missiles it can have…”, was most likely a reference towards Shaheen-III ballistic missile that has a declared range of 2750 km. The specific range of 2750 km had two purposes - to signal that Pakistan’s nuclear capability covers the Indian landmass; and secondly, that it is not intended towards any other country, including Israel. Since Pakistan’s nuclear capability has a singular focus of deterring its major rival India, therefore limiting the missile range to 2750 Km was deliberate and intended to pacify concerns of some of the countries that might otherwise feel insecure. Pakistan does not have any ambition to emerge as a regional hegemon, and neither it has the resources to build an expansive nuclear posture that could threaten countries in its distant neighbourhood. The out of context statement by a member of Pakistan’s National Command Authority (NCA) may have raised unnecessary alarm about Pakistan’s nuclear program, and is not likely to be helpful in the ongoing negotiations with the IMF. It was also intriguing that on one hand the Finance Minister Dar made this ill-advised statement but at the same time he was pleading a relatively junior US official of the rank of Deputy Assistant Secretary Level to show leniency towards Pakistan. Nuclear nationalism is a result of sustained efforts by the national leadership to assert nuclear identity, in addition to the collective sense of shared history, language, culture, religion etc. Once nuclear weapons are made part of the national identity, it becomes easier to manipulate public sentiments and exploit it for political objectives. Successive leadership
in Pakistan has been exploiting it for political objectives that has led to heightened public sensitivities on the nuclear issues. Over the past many years nuclear nationalism has also emerged as a tool used by the external powers as a leverage to extract concessions from Pakistan. Therefore, the statements such as the one made by the US CENTCOM Chief need not be celebrated, as these are politically oriented and mainly to address the US interests. These could change with the shift in US priorities towards the region. In view of these known sensitivities and the challenges that Pakistan continues to face internally as well as external, it is imperative that the national leadership must exercise restraint in their public utterings and need not indulge in nuclearism behaviour. The statement such as the one made by the Finance Minister could lead to unwarranted controversies, and brings into question the credibility of the leadership, which itself is vital for the credibility of nuclear deterrence.
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) Chief General Michael E. Kurilla in his recent testimony before the Senate Arms Services Committee stated that he is “confident in [Pakistan’s] nuclear security procedures.” The remarks made in the backdrop of the ongoing economic and political crisis in the country coincided with another statement by Pakistan’s Finance Minister, Ishaq Dar where he had asserted that “nobody has the right to tell Pakistan what range of missiles it can have and what nuclear weapons it can have. We have to have our own deterrence.” The two statements given in a different context with distinct objectives triggered an unnecessary debate in the country. On one hand, the US CENTCOM Chief’s remarks were being projected as an endorsement of Pakistan’s security credentials, but on the other hand the Finance Minister’s statement at the floor of the Senate created an impression that the ongoing negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are being deliberately stalled at the behest of the US, to coerce Pakistan to curtail its nuclear and missile programs. Bringing the focus on Pakistan’s nuclear program by the Finance Minister was disingenuous and may have intended to divert the focus away from continued failure to conclude an agreement with the IMF. This triggered unnecessary controversy in a country where nuclear program remains a sensitive issue and is often exploited by various elements for their own interests. The IMF was quick to refute the claim made by the Finance Minister, forcing him to clarify that his statement was taken out of context and “neither the IMF nor any other country has made any demands regarding Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities.” Notwithstanding this clarification, appearing to falsely accuse the IMF, not only brought a negative focus on the type and ranges of Pakistan’s missiles inventory but it may have further complicated the work of the government team negotiating an agreement with the IMF. There is a possibility that Finance Minister Dar’s remarks may have been intended to deliberately scuttle the negotiations with the IMF. The government knows that it may not be in a position to steer the country out of the current economic crisis even with the IMF
bailout package. To shift the blame from abject failure to achieve progress, Dar may have indulged himself in a ‘nuclearism’ behaviour with an intent to exploit public sensitivities and blaming the IMF for demands that were never made. This is not the first time that the ‘nuclear nationalism’ has been used by the political leaders for their personal and political interests. It had been exploited by various governments to build their nationalist credentials, to blame others, or to signal to the outside actors. The excessive politicization of country’s nuclear program has its own demerits as it heightens the public sensitivities that are easily exploited - both by the external as well as internal elements. Finance Minister Dar’s reference that “nobody has the right to tell Pakistan what range of missiles it can have…”, was most likely a reference towards Shaheen-III ballistic missile that has a declared range of 2750 km. The specific range of 2750 km had two purposes - to signal that Pakistan’s nuclear capability covers the Indian landmass; and secondly, that it is not intended towards any other country, including Israel. Since Pakistan’s nuclear capability has a singular focus of deterring its major rival India, therefore limiting the missile range to 2750 Km was deliberate and intended to pacify concerns of some of the countries that might otherwise feel insecure. Pakistan does not have any ambition to emerge as a regional hegemon, and neither it has the resources to build an expansive nuclear posture that could threaten countries in its distant neighbourhood. The out of context statement by a member of Pakistan’s National Command Authority (NCA) may have raised unnecessary alarm about Pakistan’s nuclear program, and is not likely to be helpful in the ongoing negotiations with the IMF. It was also intriguing that on one hand the Finance Minister Dar made this ill-advised statement but at the same time he was pleading a relatively junior US official of the rank of Deputy Assistant Secretary Level to show leniency towards Pakistan. Nuclear nationalism is a result of sustained efforts by the national leadership to assert nuclear identity, in addition to the collective sense of shared history, language, culture, religion etc. Once nuclear weapons are made part of the national identity, it becomes easier to manipulate public sentiments and exploit it for political objectives. Successive leadership
in Pakistan has been exploiting it for political objectives that has led to heightened public sensitivities on the nuclear issues. Over the past many years nuclear nationalism has also emerged as a tool used by the external powers as a leverage to extract concessions from Pakistan. Therefore, the statements such as the one made by the US CENTCOM Chief need not be celebrated, as these are politically oriented and mainly to address the US interests. These could change with the shift in US priorities towards the region. In view of these known sensitivities and the challenges that Pakistan continues to face internally as well as external, it is imperative that the national leadership must exercise restraint in their public utterings and need not indulge in nuclearism behaviour. The statement such as the one made by the Finance Minister could lead to unwarranted controversies, and brings into question the credibility of the leadership, which itself is vital for the credibility of nuclear deterrence.
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